Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.418231 0.463228 0.511621 0.567631 0.630790 0.699941 0.781567
2025-05-04 0.346782 0.409079 0.481090 0.570900 0.680480 0.810565 0.977757
2025-05-11 0.305607 0.375727 0.460742 0.572229 0.715790 0.896068 1.142173
2025-05-18 0.278183 0.353634 0.448731 0.578700 0.753741 0.984224 1.315533
2025-05-25 0.249474 0.325915 0.425376 0.566047 0.762754 1.032372 1.437462
2025-06-01 0.233413 0.312695 0.418936 0.574075 0.798822 1.118848 1.620550
2025-06-08 0.215864 0.295556 0.405119 0.569656 0.815588 1.177897 1.768069
2025-06-15 0.203517 0.284407 0.398333 0.574031 0.844605 1.256495 1.952899
2025-06-22 0.189014 0.268900 0.383813 0.565237 0.852139 1.301871 2.088270
2025-06-29 0.177029 0.256099 0.372122 0.559405 0.863139 1.352816 2.237351
2025-07-06 0.161954 0.237602 0.350475 0.536118 0.843722 1.351697 2.295358
2025-07-13 0.155692 0.232042 0.348127 0.543143 0.874261 1.436312 2.514742
2025-07-20 0.149514 0.226342 0.345356 0.549574 0.904927 1.525137 2.755063
2025-07-27 0.143343 0.220250 0.341534 0.553922 0.932350 1.610941 3.000858
2025-08-03 0.137081 0.213566 0.336210 0.555119 0.953983 1.687828 3.238166
2025-08-10 0.132307 0.208978 0.333974 0.561375 0.985115 1.785227 3.529685
2025-08-17 0.124541 0.198941 0.321902 0.549154 0.980590 1.813096 3.676997
2025-08-24 0.120869 0.195567 0.320954 0.556908 1.014578 1.920140 4.011264
2025-08-31 0.115453 0.188886 0.313819 0.552640 1.024641 1.979383 4.245281
2025-09-07 0.111783 0.185006 0.311346 0.556865 1.051781 2.076535 4.580669
2025-09-14 0.106416 0.177849 0.302576 0.548372 1.052269 2.116731 4.784339
2025-09-21 0.101832 0.171844 0.295543 0.542739 1.058136 2.169072 5.025213
2025-09-28 0.095155 0.161751 0.280473 0.520244 1.026621 2.135053 5.041234